Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Melbourne City has a probability of 31.37% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Melbourne City win is 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.27%).
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
47.5% ( -0.32) | 21.12% ( 0.17) | 31.37% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 70.69% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.86% ( -0.79) | 28.14% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.08% ( -0.99) | 48.92% ( 0.99) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% ( -0.39) | 12.68% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.14% ( -0.81) | 38.86% ( 0.81) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% ( -0.32) | 19.04% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( -0.53) | 50.62% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.46% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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