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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Allianz Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
3 - 0
Victory

Lolley (2', 26'), Kucharski (86')
Segecic (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Geria (51'), Reec (67'), Fornaroli (70'), Hamill (79')
Machach (16')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Sydney FC
Friday, December 20 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
41.11% (0.228 0.23) 22.46% (-0.126 -0.13) 36.42% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 67.32% (0.473 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (0.622 0.62)33.23% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.01% (0.709 0.71)54.98% (-0.709 -0.71)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (0.35000000000001 0.35)16.93% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.619 0.62)46.99% (-0.618 -0.62)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (0.23 0.23)18.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.38200000000001 0.38)50.49% (-0.382 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 41.11%
    Melbourne Victory 36.42%
    Draw 22.46%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.7% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.42%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-1
Sydney FC
Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')
Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Victory
3-0
Sydney FC
Arzani (20'), Machach (24'), Fornaroli (57')
Traore (48'), Brimmer (56'), Folami (66'), Fornaroli (89')

King (44'), Grant (71')
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
0-2
Victory

Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
rhs 2.0
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