Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.