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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Nantes

Toulouse
0 - 0
Nantes


Desler (90+2')
FT

Girotto (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Nantes

 Given Toulouse's recent wobbles on home soil, Nantes are expected to give the hosts a run for their money, but the visitors will struggle to claim all three points on Sunday. Sitting two points from safety with four matches remaining, the Canaries must go for broke at Stadium de Toulouse, but their attacking endeavours will leave them vulnerable in defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
44.66% (-0.328 -0.33) 25.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.13% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.271 -0.27)48.3% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.25 -0.25)70.44% (0.251 0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)21.62% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.402 -0.4)54.74% (0.404 0.4)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.75% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.66%
    Nantes 30.13%
    Draw 25.21%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
70.8%
Draw
4.2%
Nantes
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Victor (26'), Pallois (38'), Descamps (43')
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Dejaegere (58'), Desler (88')
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-0
Nantes
Sylla (55')
Jullien (20'), Shoji (34'), Amian (40')

Ie (24')
Girotto (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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