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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Hoffenheim's defensive record in the league has been concerning for some time, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep a clean sheet on Saturday. Additionally, Union Berlin have proven this season they are capable of winning without dominating possession, and they could prove dangerous during counter-attacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
45.78% (0.24 0.24) 23.93% (-0.152 -0.15) 30.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.48% (0.475 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.648 0.65)42.54% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (0.642 0.64)64.94% (-0.643 -0.64)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (0.357 0.36)18.79% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (0.595 0.59)50.2% (-0.594 -0.59)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.265 0.27)26.76% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.345 0.34)62.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 45.78%
    Hoffenheim 30.28%
    Draw 23.93%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
79.2%
Draw
14.6%
Hoffenheim
6.3%
48
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Union Berlin

Nsoki (45'), Kaderabek (86')
Nsoki (45+4')
Aaronson (84')
Volland (45'), Doekhi (45+9'), Leite (89')
Volland (45+6')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
0-2
Hoffenheim

Tousart (72')
Kramaric (22' pen.), Beier (38')
Kramaric (45+4'), Stach (54'), Ole Becker (89')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
4-2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Stiller (90+8'), Dabour (90+8')
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Bebou (43')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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