Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
51.63% ( -0.34) | 26.87% ( 0.43) | 21.5% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.91% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.54% ( -1.48) | 60.46% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.41% ( -1.13) | 80.59% ( 1.13) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.79) | 23.64% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -1.15) | 57.73% ( 1.15) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% ( -0.95) | 43.81% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.03% ( -0.8) | 79.97% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 14.93% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |