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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Las Palmas

Valencia
2 - 3
Las Palmas

Pepelu (14' pen.), Tarrega (90+4')
Pepelu (8'), Rozada (28'), Abajas Martin (30')
Pepelu (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Munoz (43'), Silva (53'), Moleiro (84')
Silva (7'), Rioja (8'), Campana (12'), Essugo (23'), Barrenechea (37'), Cardona (70'), Rodriguez (71'), Suarez (77'), Munoz (82'), Moleiro (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Valencia
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas

Already approaching six-pointer status, this foot-of-the-table contest will be full of caution and may be decided by just one goal. Even a struggling Valencia side should be able to edge out Las Palmas, who have sacked their coach after recording four away defeats, in which they conceded an average of over two goals per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
51.63% (-0.341 -0.34) 26.87% (0.427 0.43) 21.5% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.91% (-1.177 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.54% (-1.481 -1.48)60.46% (1.483 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.41% (-1.134 -1.13)80.59% (1.135 1.13)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.78700000000001 -0.79)23.64% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-1.15 -1.15)57.73% (1.151 1.15)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19% (-0.952 -0.95)43.81% (0.954 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.796 -0.8)79.97% (0.797 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 51.62%
    Las Palmas 21.5%
    Draw 26.86%
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 14.93% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.558 0.56)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas

Valencia
78.1%
Draw
14.6%
Las Palmas
7.3%
178
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Suarez (89'), Cardona (90+5')
Marmol (48'), Cardona (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Pepelu (74' pen.)
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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