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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
49.24% ( 0.08) | 24.23% ( -0.01) | 26.52% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.7% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( -0.01) | 46.28% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -0.01) | 68.57% ( 0) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( 0.03) | 18.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.68% ( 0.05) | 50.32% ( -0.05) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( -0.07) | 31.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% ( -0.07) | 67.72% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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