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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Walsall
2 - 1
Accrington

Okagbue (60'), Adegboyega (85')
Faal (90+7'), Gordon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (56' pen.)
Martin (22'), Nolan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Walsall are in great form heading into this game after three consecutive victories and a four-game unbeaten streak. Accrington, on the other hand, have dominated this fixture, winning the last four. However, we think the home side will edge this at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
49.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.23% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.012 -0.01)46.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)18.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.047000000000004 0.05)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)67.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 49.24%
    Accrington Stanley 26.52%
    Draw 24.23%
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Walsall vs Accrington

Walsall
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Leigh (9'), Pritchard (57')
Woods (45+3')
Draper (45+4' pen.)
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Accrington
2-1
Walsall
Sykes (11', 69')
Finley (63')
Devlin (33')
Kinsella (45'), Scarr (80'), Gordon (81'), Cook (84'), Leahy (88')
Gordon (84')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Walsall
0-1
Accrington

Fitzwater (85')
Kee (7' pen.)
McConville (26'), Clark (31')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Walsall
3-2
Accrington
Keates (75' pen.), Harper (21'), Butler (85')
Keates (77')
Williams (65'), Mullin (25')
Williams (66'), Whalley (73')
Oct 21, 2006 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Walsall
Craney (78')
Edwards (24')
Wright (85'), Sam (40')
Constable (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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