MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 06:56:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
0 - 1
Cardiff


Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Cardiff City

With Dennis and Rajovic raring to do some damage from the start, Watford should be confident of exploiting a leaky Cardiff backline this weekend. The Bluebirds will be boosted by the return of Ramsey to the matchday squad, but we believe that the introduction of the Welsh legend will not be enough to prevent a win for the hosts at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
52.14% (0.012 0.01) 24.36% (-0.157 -0.16) 23.5% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.65 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.778 0.78)49.43% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.696 0.7)71.47% (-0.697 -0.7)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.304 0.3)18.93% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.506 0.51)50.44% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.56 0.56)35.59% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.574 0.57)72.36% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Watford 52.13%
    Cardiff City 23.5%
    Draw 24.36%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.5%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
60.7%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!