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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Western Utd
4 - 2
Macarthur

Danzaki (52'), Ruhs (56', 66'), Grimaldi (59')
Vidmar (16'), Wales (35'), Risdon (55'), Garuccio (62'), Ruhs (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Germain (17' pen.), Davila (24')
Vujica (38'), Borges Rodrigues (55'), Rose (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-1 Western Utd
Friday, March 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
41.93% (-0.596 -0.6) 22.31% (0.174 0.17) 35.76% (0.418 0.42)
Both teams to score 67.81% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.45% (-0.81100000000001 -0.81)32.54% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.8% (-0.943 -0.94)54.19% (0.94 0.94)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (-0.56 -0.56)16.32% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.09% (-1.022 -1.02)45.91% (1.019 1.02)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)18.96% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (-0.284 -0.28)50.49% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Western United 41.93%
    Macarthur 35.76%
    Draw 22.31%
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.61% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.76%

Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 6.30am
Gameweek 27
Macarthur
3-3
Western Utd
Davila (32', 51', 90')
Adamson (71'), Germain (76')
Garuccio (3'), Penha (74', 85')
Imai (49'), Risdon (66'), Penha (86')
Nov 4, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 3
Macarthur
1-0
Western Utd
Auglah (90+3')
Hollman (41'), Baccus (58'), Lewis (84'), Germain (86')

Imai (28'), Garuccio (86')
Jan 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 14
Macarthur
2-2
Western Utd
Millar (67'), Drew (81')
Wales (60'), Milanovic (89')
Oct 21, 2022 9.45am
Apr 19, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 22
Western Utd
2-0
Macarthur
Pain (57'), Prijovic (90+4')
Kilkenny (37'), Pain (65'), Topor-Stanley (73')

Uskok (8'), Mariappa (30'), Giannou (76')
Mariappa (69')
rhs 2.0
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