Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.