Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.