Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
41.58% ( -0.69) | 25.85% ( 0.09) | 32.57% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% ( -0.2) | 50.15% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( -0.18) | 72.11% ( 0.18) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.43) | 23.9% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( -0.63) | 58.1% ( 0.62) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( 0.29) | 29.04% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( 0.36) | 64.94% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 43 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 31 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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