MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 14:22:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lyon

Nice
0 - 2
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cherki (78'), Nuamah (83')
Kumbedi (4'), Tolisso (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: FCSB 1-3 Lyon
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Nice 1-1 Lyon

Both of these sides will want to win this one, but we feel that it will end in an entertaining draw. Lyon have plenty of quality in attack, and we think that they are capable of getting a point against a tricky opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
30.36% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.09% (0.00099999999999767 0) 45.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.012 -0.01)43.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.62% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)27.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83%19.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 30.36%
    Lyon 45.54%
    Draw 24.09%
NiceDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.54%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
Draw
Lyon
Nice
38.8%
Draw
26.5%
Lyon
34.7%
49
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Lacazette (4', 41', 69' pen.), Veretout (43')
Tagliafico (90+1')
Diop (22')
Boudaoui (54'), Louchet (90+6')
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Mangala (22')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
0-0
Lyon
Tagliafico (90'), Caleta-Car (90+2'), Alvero (90+5'), Alvero (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nice
3-1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille30174962422055
3MonacoMonaco30166857352254
4Nice31159759392054
5Lille30158747321553
6Lyon30156958411751
7StrasbourgStrasbourg30149748371151
8Lens30136113533245
9Brest30135124849-144
10Rennes30122164540538
11Auxerre30108124145-438
12Toulouse3097143839-134
13Reims3088143242-1032
14NantesNantes30710133550-1531
15Angers3086162948-1930
16Le HavreLe Havre3083193364-3127
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3076173368-3527
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3043232271-4915


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