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Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Austin FC

Dallas
3 - 1
Austin

Arriola (10'), Musa (56' pen.), Farfan (74')
Farrington (55'), Musa (56'), Twumasi (63'), Twumasi (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zardes (16')
Cascante (55'), Pereira (90+8')
Driussi (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Austin FC

 Dallas have put together a fine run of results at home in recent weeks and will be backing themselves to pick up where they left off against LA Galaxy. Austin have struggled for results on their travels, and given their record at the Toyota Stadium, we are tipping the hosts to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
53.34% (0.22300000000001 0.22) 23.56% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.1% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (0.128 0.13)46.43% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.12 0.12)68.71% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.13 0.13)17.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.225 0.23)47.73% (-0.222 -0.22)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)34.3% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)71% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 53.34%
    Austin FC 23.1%
    Draw 23.55%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 23.1%

How you voted: Dallas vs Austin

Dallas
87.9%
Draw
9.1%
Austin FC
3.0%
33
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-1
Austin
Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
1-0
Austin
Burgess (90+7')
Arriola (13'), Farfan (27'), Jimenez (56'), Illarramendi (74')

Pereira (45')
Pereira (67')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 4.07am
Austin
3-0
Dallas
Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')

Quignon (25')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Austin
0-1
Dallas
Ferreira (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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