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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

 Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.89% (-1.173 -1.17) 20.89% (0.242 0.24) 21.22% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.181 0.18)36.54% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.196 0.2)58.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.27 -0.27)12.47% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.576 -0.58)38.44% (0.581 0.58)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.965 0.97)30.45% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (1.133 1.13)66.66% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 57.89%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
    Draw 20.89%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-3
Minnesota Utd
> Preview
May 19, 2022 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
LA Galaxy
Boxall (35'), Arriaga (41')
Raveloson (2')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
LA Galaxy
3-3
Minnesota Utd
Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Gameweek 33
Minnesota Utd
3-0
LA Galaxy
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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