Major League Soccer

Jul 10, 2022 at 3.24am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duke (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Columbus Crew	17	2	22
9	Inter Miami	17	-4	22
10	Atlanta United	17	3	20

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Inter Miami

Orlando will understand that this weekend's clash represents an opportunity not only to take the bragging rights of Florida, but to also consolidate their playoff position. Inter Miami will offer stern competition, but it is unlikely they will be able to take points off Orlando. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Inter Miami
56.28% ( -0.14)	23.69% ( 0.12)	20.02% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.47% (

-0.47)

50.52% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.55% (

-0.42)

72.44% (

0.42)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

-0.23)

17.77% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52% (

-0.39)

48.47% (

0.39)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

-0.25)

39.63% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

-0.23)

76.31% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 56.27%

Inter Miami 20.02%

Draw 23.69%

Orlando City	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.27%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.02%