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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
New England Revolution

Nashville
3 - 2
New England

McCarty (19'), Surridge (30', 45+3')
Williams (42'), McCarty (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chancalay (49', 71')
Polster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 New England Revolution

The one thing Nashville have always known how to do well is defend, and for as poor as they have been in front of goal, the Boys in Gold have been airtight defensively at home. The Revs have failed to score in three of their five encounters with Nashville, scoring only once in two previous visits to the Music City, and we expect them to have a tough time getting through the home team's backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
54.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.36% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)44.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.012 -0.01)66.7% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.029 -0.03)70.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 54.75%
    New England Revolution 22.36%
    Draw 22.88%
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Nashville vs New England

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
New England Revolution
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 5, 2021 12am
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nashville
2-0
New England
Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')

Jones (57')
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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