Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.