National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City3 - 0Tonbridge Angels
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
72
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
63
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
58.75% ( -0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( 0.02) | 46.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% ( 0.02) | 68.82% ( -0.02) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.02) | 15.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.04) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% ( 0.08) | 38.57% ( -0.08) |