National League South | Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Weymouth1 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Weymouth | Draw | Chelmsford City |
36.36% ( 0.04) | 26.02% ( -0.01) | 37.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.73% ( 0.06) | 50.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% ( 0.06) | 72.22% ( -0.06) |
Weymouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.06) | 26.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.07) | 62.05% ( -0.07) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.01) |