Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
45.36% ( 1.03) | 23.26% ( -0.22) | 31.38% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 62.52% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( 0.7) | 38.8% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% ( 0.73) | 61.11% ( -0.74) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( 0.69) | 17.48% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.03% ( 1.19) | 47.97% ( -1.2) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% ( -0.14) | 24.23% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% ( -0.2) | 58.58% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.99% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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