Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
44.46% ( -3.19) | 23.92% ( 0.4) | 31.61% ( 2.78) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.18% ( -0.4) | 41.81% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.78% ( -0.4) | 64.22% ( 0.4) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% ( -1.44) | 19.04% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( -2.45) | 50.63% ( 2.44) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( 1.6) | 25.56% ( -1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( 2.13) | 60.42% ( -2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.32% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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