Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Gateshead win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
57.58% ( 0.47) | 22.68% ( 0.02) | 19.74% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.28% ( -0.76) | 46.73% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( -0.72) | 68.99% ( 0.72) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.11) | 15.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% ( -0.2) | 45.25% ( 0.2) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.25% ( -0.95) | 37.75% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% ( -0.94) | 74.53% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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