Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.