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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Newcastle logo

Chelsea
1 - 0
Newcastle

Havertz (89')
Havertz (39'), Ziyech (58'), Kovacic (87'), Rudiger (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (50'), Guimaraes (80'), Gayle (90+2')

The Match

Team News

Malang Sarr returns to the Chelsea starting lineup as Thomas Tuchel seemingly changes formation for Sunday's Premier League fixture with Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle United

This will be a real test of Newcastle's recent improvement, and it would not be a surprise to see the Magpies claim a positive result on Sunday afternoon. Chelsea's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the superior quality in the home side's team will allow them to claim a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
76.37%15.1%8.53%
Both teams to score 46.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.28%37.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.03%59.97%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79%8.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27%28.72%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.97%49.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.03%83.97%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 76.36%
    Newcastle United 8.53%
    Draw 15.1%
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 12.57%
3-0 @ 10.48%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 6.55%
4-1 @ 4.67%
5-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.67%
6-0 @ 1.37%
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.36%
1-1 @ 7.17%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.1%
0-1 @ 2.87%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.53%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Newcastle

Chelsea
66.7%
Draw
20.9%
Newcastle United
12.4%
177
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Newcastle
0-3
Chelsea

Hayden (17'), Ritchie (39'), Lascelles (55')
James (65', 77'), Jorginho (81' pen.)
Kante (54'), Ziyech (57')
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Nov 21, 2020 12.30pm
Newcastle
0-2
Chelsea

Hayden (39'), Murphy (45')
Fernandez (10' og.), Abraham (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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