Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.