Gorica

2 - 1

Sibenik

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Sibenik had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Sibenik win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorica would win this match.