Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.