Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.