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Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Lukaku (29')
Brozovic (64'), Vidal (69'), Hakimi (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (13', 16')
Kjaer (22'), Kessie (45+1'), Ibrahimovic (60'), Pioli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Madonnina between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
48.73%23.15%28.12%
Both teams to score 60.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44%62.56%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.37%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 48.73%
    AC Milan 28.12%
    Draw 23.14%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 21, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Oct 21, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Icardi (90')
Politano (75'), Balde (90')

Biglia (20'), Calhanoglu (44'), Calabria (45'), Suso (61'), Bakayoko (90')
Apr 4, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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