Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.