Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
