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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Cremonese

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Cremonese

Lazovic (9', 26')
Kallon (23'), Djuric (63'), Verdi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Castagnetti (31'), Sernicola (54'), Lochoshvili (73'), Okereke (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Cremonese

Buoyed by their impressive performance against Juve, Cremonese can finally end their drought by beating the only side sitting beneath them in the Serie A standings. The visitors will be able to catch Verona out at least once, and now have the discipline to get three points over the line at long last. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawCremonese
40.25% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 25.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 33.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)50.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77% (-0.032 -0.03)72.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)24.64% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)59.15% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 40.25%
    Cremonese 33.79%
    Draw 25.95%
Hellas VeronaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese

Hellas Verona
36.0%
Draw
25.2%
Cremonese
38.7%
111
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
Third Round
Hellas Verona
1-2
Cremonese
Empereur (7')
Veloso (49')
Castagnetti (90'), Deli (102')
Ravanelli (34'), Soddimo (76'), Renzetti (77')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Cremonese
1-1
Hellas Verona
Mogos (13')
Strizzolo (21'), Claiton (47'), Carretta (80'), Castagnetti (82')
Di Carmine (18' pen.)
Empereur (43'), Faraoni (85')
Nov 2, 2018 8pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Cremonese
Caracciolo (3')
Caracciolo (18'), Ragusa (32'), Cisse (50')
Arini (31')
Greco (57'), Croce (64'), Piccolo (86')
Aug 24, 2014 7.30pm
Round Three
Hellas Verona
3-0
Cremonese
Toni (50'), Moras (61'), Christodoulopoulos (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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