Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.