Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
