Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.