Newtown

2 - 3

Connah's Quay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.