Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay3 - 1Newtown
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
60.65% ( 0.07) | 21.65% ( -0.01) | 17.7% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
