Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.