MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:14:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 2, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Tigre

Fernandez (46')
Malatini (63'), Cardona (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forclaz (83'), Cardozo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Tigre

Defensa's impressive home record of late makes them big favourites to come out on top here and while we expect anything but a straightforward affair, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
42.48% (0.531 0.53) 27.61% (-0.212 -0.21) 29.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.46 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09% (0.647 0.65)57.9% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.508 0.51)78.61% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.58800000000001 0.59)26.94% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.76600000000001 0.77)62.28% (-0.769 -0.77)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)34.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (0.108 0.11)71.62% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 42.47%
    Tigre 29.9%
    Draw 27.61%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.235 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 29.9%

How you voted: Defensa vs Tigre

Defensa y Justicia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Tigre
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
0-0
Tigre
Rios (64'), Gutierrez (70'), Colombo (80')
Cabrera (77')
Nov 26, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
2-1
Tigre
Rojas (5'), Fernandez (81')
Montillo (53')
Gonzalez (32'), Moiraghi (63'), Luna (93')
Canuto (68'), Prediger (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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