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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Wolfsburg

B. Leverkusen
4 - 3
Wolfsburg

Wirtz (14'), Tah (32'), Hincapie (48'), Boniface (90+3')
Belocian (36'), Grimaldo (45+5'), Adli (51'), Frimpong (88')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mukiele (5' og.), Bornauw (37'), Svanberg (45+1')
Tomas (50'), Zesiger (80'), Arnold (90+1'), Grabara (90+1'), Kaminski (90+7')
Gerhardt (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Wolfsburg

 Bayer Leverkusen have been lethal in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if star forwards like Wirtz continue their good form. However, while Wolfsburg are underdogs they will take confidence from the fact that the hosts have struggled to keep many clean sheets in recent games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
58.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 20.49% (0.004999999999999 0) 20.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 61.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.62% (0.012 0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.012 0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 58.96%
    Wolfsburg 20.55%
    Draw 20.49%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 20.55%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
88.8%
Draw
11.2%
Wolfsburg
0.0%
107
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Wolfsburg
Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Wolfsburg
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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