MX23RW : Sunday, November 3 04:26:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Wolfsburg

B. Leverkusen
4 - 3
Wolfsburg

Wirtz (14'), Tah (32'), Hincapie (48'), Boniface (90+3')
Belocian (36'), Grimaldo (45+5'), Adli (51'), Frimpong (88')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mukiele (5' og.), Bornauw (37'), Svanberg (45+1')
Tomas (50'), Zesiger (80'), Arnold (90+1'), Grabara (90+1'), Kaminski (90+7')
Gerhardt (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen have been lethal in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if star forwards like Wirtz continue their good form. However, while Wolfsburg are underdogs they will take confidence from the fact that the hosts have struggled to keep many clean sheets in recent games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
58.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 20.49% (0.004999999999999 0) 20.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 61.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.62% (0.012 0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.012 0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 58.96%
    Wolfsburg 20.55%
    Draw 20.49%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 20.55%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
88.8%
Draw
11.2%
Wolfsburg
0.0%
107
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Wolfsburg
Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg85031311215
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Werder Bremen83321416-212
10Augsburg93241320-711
11Heidenheim93151212010
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach83141113-210
13Wolfsburg92341617-19
14Mainz 05Mainz82331213-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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