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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
58.96% ( -0.01) | 20.49% ( 0) | 20.55% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( -0.01) | 35.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% ( -0.01) | 57.62% ( 0.01) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% ( -0) | 11.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.84% ( -0.01) | 37.16% ( 0.01) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.5% ( 0) | 30.5% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% ( -0) | 66.72% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.96% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 20.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
10 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
11 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Mainz 05Mainz | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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