Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.