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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
35.05% ( 0.57) | 27.7% ( -0.04) | 37.26% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% ( 0.21) | 57.13% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( 0.17) | 78% ( -0.16) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.47) | 30.91% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( 0.55) | 67.2% ( -0.55) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( -0.21) | 29.53% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% ( -0.26) | 65.55% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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