Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
