CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 19, 2024 at 1am UK
CityPark
USA4 - 2Jamaica
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
We said: USA 1-0 Jamaica (USA win 2-0 on aggregate)
The Jamaicans have shown they can play the Americans tough, but we do not believe they have enough depth to compete with the US for 90 minutes and turn this tie in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
58.94% ( -0.03) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 17.48% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
