CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Independiente1 - 0Flamengo
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Independiente del Valle and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Independiente
Saturday, October 1 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Saturday, October 1 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Al Ahly 2-4 Flamengo
Saturday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Club World Cup
Saturday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Club World Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Flamengo |
22.98% ( -0.3) | 25.77% ( -0.01) | 51.25% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
