Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.