Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Spezia2 - 2Venezia
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Spezia and Venezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Venezia |
30.72% ( 0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.04) | 45.09% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( -0) | 43.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% ( -0) | 65.9% ( 0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.21) | 26.96% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( 0.27) | 62.3% ( -0.26) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% ( -0.15) | 19.47% ( 0.15) |