Helmond

1 - 3

Willem II

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.