Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.