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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Hearts logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle

Hearts
2 - 1
RFS

Shankland (3'), Halliday (12')
Shankland (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Friesenbichler (39')
Lipuscek (19'), Zjuzins (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Rigas Futbola Skola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Rigas Futbola Skola

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 RFS
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celtic393.55Furuhashi
2Rangers272.45Colak
3Aberdeen222.00Miovski
4Hearts181.64Shankland
5Motherwell151.25van Veen
6Hibernian141.17Boyle
7St Johnstone131.08May
8St Mirren121.09Greive
9Dundee Utd110.92Watt
10Kilmarnock90.75Armstrong
11Livingston90.82Montano
12Ross County60.50Edwards

We said: Hearts 1-0 Rigas Futbola Skola

 RFS will almost certainly come to Tynecastle and sit back and hope for opportunities on the counter-attack, but this did not work as well in Istanbul as it did in Florence. Hearts have been woeful at home of late, but did show a lot of fight and quality in netting three times against Celtic at the weekend, so they should be able to see off the Latvian side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
HeartsDrawRigas Futbola Skola
41.03% (0.126 0.13) 24.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.195 -0.2)44.28% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (-0.191 -0.19)66.65% (0.188 0.19)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)21.61% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)54.71% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)25.11% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)59.82% (0.255 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.03%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 34.33%
    Draw 24.62%
HeartsDrawRigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Hearts vs RFS

Hearts
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Rigas Futbola Skola
11.1%
63
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Group A
RFS
0-2
Hearts
Shankland (43' pen.), Forrest (90+3')
Cochrane (9')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
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4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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