Both teams defied their place in the league pyramid and own form to upset the odds in the fourth qualifying round, putting them on somewhat of an even platform here. While Hednesford rose to the occasion versus Gateshead, we feel that Gainsborough will prove too strong in attack given their recent exploits on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).

Result
Hednesford Town	Draw	Gainsborough Trinity
24.55% ( -0.09)	21.72% ( -0.07)	53.73% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 62.4% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.48% (

0.26)

36.52% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.33% (

0.29)

58.67% (

-0.28)

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.07)

27.68% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.09)

63.23% (

-0.09)

Gainsborough Trinity Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

0.14)

13.71% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.04% (

0.28)

40.96% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Hednesford Town 24.55%

Gainsborough Trinity 53.73%

Draw 21.73%

Hednesford Town	Draw	Gainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 24.55%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.73%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.73%

How you voted: Hednesford vs Gainsborough

Hednesford Town

33.3%

Draw

14.3%

Gainsborough Trinity

52.4%

Form Guide

Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford

Hednesford 1-1 Gateshead

Hednesford 1-0 Shifnal Town FC

Shifnal Town FC 0-0 Hednesford

Hednesford 4-1 Rugby Town

Rugby Town 2-2 Hednesford

Boston 0-4 Gainsborough

Gainsborough 2-2 Boston

Darlington 1-2 Gainsborough

Gainsborough 2-1 Grantham

Gainsborough 2-1 Telford

Gainsborough 0-1 Boston

Build-up

Hednesford Town sack manager Steve King ahead of Gainsborough Trinity FA Cup tie

Hednesford Town announce that they have sacked manager Steve King just two days before facing Gainsborough Trinity in the FA Cup first round.

Oct 31, 18:12

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Hednesford
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Gainsborough